Newsletter Vol 3 Issue 13 (NACHA + Migration Shifts)


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Global Value Transfer Experts
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This week brings some follow-up reflection on our earlier predictions about migration patterns and money transfer.  In addition, we take a look at the new ACH standard related to mobile payments and thoughts about its prospective impact on the industry.

Mondato is at the convergence of the public and private sectors where financial, mobile, and online value transfers (money, airtime, bill payments) meet. 
 
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In this issue: 

Will the National Automated Clearing House Association's new rule for mobile ACH payments impact the industry?   

Update on Migration and Remittance Shifts
Diaspora bonds and new government focus on remittances.

NACHA: Meaningful Mobile Payments Impact?
While the National Automated Clearing House Association has created a new ruling on mobile payments, there are reasons why this may have limited impact in the MVT industry.

ACH Standards for Mobile Payments
As more companies develop mobile payment products and as consumers grow increasingly comfortable with the idea of using their mobile devices for financial transactions, governments are being forced to accept the need to develop regulation around this emerging industry.  We have looked at government regulation and the development of standards on a number of occasions–most recently as relates to how the Chinese government has encouraged consensus around a single technology for contactless mobile technology based on the NFC standard–and while most of our discussion is concerned with the events taking place in developing countries in Africa, Asia and Latin America, we are also keen to see how developed country governments respond to this emerging technology.

While developed countries are generally more technologically advanced, with more mature financial markets, and so in certain ways are more prepared for mobile payments then developing countries, this advantage in technology and financial penetration has in many ways been a hindrance to the adoption of mobile payments technology, as consumers don’t see the utility in conducting financial transactions on their mobile devices when they have so many other options for conducting these transactions.  Nonetheless, earlier this month in the US, NACHA, the National Automated Clearing House Association, approved a new rule on enabling Automated Clearing House (ACH) payments initiated from a mobile phone.
 
Adopted as part of the NACHA Operating Rules, which define the roles and responsibilities of financial institutions and other participants in the ACH Network, the new rule incorporates mobile ACH payments into the existing category of Internet-Initiated Entries (WEB) and requires that mobile payments use the WEB Standard Entry Class (SEC) Code.  
 
The Mobile ACH Payments Rule is meant to establish a framework for accepting and processing mobile-initiated ACH debit payments from consumers, and NACHA hopes that it will provide clarity to users of the ACH Network regarding authorization, risk-management, and data-security requirements for mobile ACH payments. This clarity in turn, it is hoped will create a more stable environment for the development of mobile payment products and services while addressing its risks.
 
NACHA, which has been discussing how to classify mobile payments since last year, and took industry comments in the fall, chose to incorporate mobile ACH debits into the WEB Category since mobile payments have a similar technology profile to internet payments and they feel that the same authorization and risk-management provisions are appropriate.
 
The adoption of the rule demonstrates that NACHA recognizes mobile payments as an emerging financial service, but its narrow scope is somewhat of a missed opportunity.  Perhaps most problematic in this failure to process mobile payments as a unique category of payments is the limit that poses to NACHA’s ability to track and report on mobile payments separately from other payment categories.
 
The new rule, which is a not a major change and does not require any coding changes, becomes effective January 1st 2011, and it seems that both avoiding a major changes to current procedures and being able to quickly implement a rule to recognize mobile payments were motivating factors in the recent decision.
 
The NACHA Rules Work Group on Mobile ACH Payments had to weigh the need for a unique transaction code with the need to let banks act quickly and cost effectively in introducing a new service. The last new transaction code NACHA introduced was IAT, a code for international payments that went into effect in September, and required an almost two year lead-time because of software and training requirements. The introduction of a new transaction code is expensive and laborious for both NACHA and its members and NACHA was likely interested to avoid this for mobile payments, especially at this early a phase.
 
Although mobile payments in the US are still an emerging financial product, the downside of the new rule is that once implemented there will be no way to tell which transactions were made via mobile devices. This means that it will be difficult to track how much ACH transaction volume mobile payments are generating.  This will limit data on the adoption of mobile payments and will eliminate an important feedback loop whereby NACHA members can understand the extent of and patterns in mobile payments and develop and promote products accordingly.
 
As we have stressed before, the regulatory environment can go a long a way towards encouraging or discouraging investment and development in particular industries and so NACHA's decisions are likely to contribute towards defining the next phase in the development and adoption of mobile payments in the US.  The ACH network and industry players such as NACHA could play a larger role in ushering in mobile payments by contributions to the infrastructure to support them, and by making available more information about opportunities for usage, both by individuals and businesses.
 
While NACHA took a step in the right direction with this rule in terms of working towards standards for the mobile payment industry, more will be needed. Overall, our expectations are low for the influence of this new rule on the industry.

Relevant links:
http://www.cellular-news.com/...
http://www.cuinsight.com/...
http://www.paymentssource.com...
http://www.digitaltransactions.net...
 



Migration and Remittance Shifts - An Update
At the beginning of the year we gave our best predictions of the major trends for 2010. Among those was the shift taking place in remittance patterns, as an increasing number of developing countries that had for long periods been destination countries for remittances were becoming send countries and were accounting for an increasing share of global remittances.  At the time we referenced a Foreign Policy Article written by the World Bank's Remittance and Migration Team and wrote: 
"As everyone in this industry has seen, the fallout of the economic crisis has exaggerated the change in remittance patterns.  While remittances have fallen drastically in a number of countries, we have also seen a shift in the sources of the remittance flows.  As the global economic landscape has changed, so too have migration patterns and sources of remittances.  Even before the economic crisis, emerging markets were growing rapidly and attracting migrants with the opportunity they presented.  As a recent Foreign Policy article by the World Bank's J. Humberto Lopez, Dilip Ratha and Sanket Mohapatra, highlights, while the US accounted for 30% of outward remittances in 2001, it accounted for only 18% last year, despite the dollar amount being sent rising over the same period.  Meanwhile countries such as Malaysia, South Africa, Russia, Kazakhstan and Indonesia as well as the Gulf Countries have emerged as major sources of remittances.[i]   This trend is likely to continue as these developing countries recover faster and offer more opportunity than developed countries and as people continue to migrate towards greater opportunities."

According to a recent study from the Reserve Bank of India, entitled “Remittances from Overseas Indians: Modes of Transfer, Transaction Cost and Time Taken,” the Gulf Region has actually overtaken North America as a source of remittance for India, as the share of remittances from the Gulf region grew during 2008-2009 and while the share from both North America and East Asia declines.  According to the study, the proportion of remittances from North America declined to 29% in 2008-2009 from 33% in 2007-2008, while those from the Gulf grew to 31% from 29% during the same period. 

This report supports our contention that remittance patterns are shifting. While some may argue that the economic crisis was responsible for this shift, we call attention to the Foreign Policy article mentioned above and in our earlier piece, regarding the emergence of this trend over the last decade.  The economic crisis undoubtedly contributed to the speed of this shift in the last year, as many developing countries have recovered more quickly than developed countries, but reports like this only underscore the shift that is taking place as migrants seek out new destinations where there may be more opportunities for them.  We are confident that as more statistics come out they will further support this finding.  

Following on the G-20 endorsement of the nine principles for financial inclusion, including lowering remittance transaction costs, we are also confident that as this shift takes place we will see a continued reduction of remittance fees across the board. Currently south-south remittance corridors can be considerably more expensive then corridors from developed to developing countries. As the latest issues of the World Bank's Bi-Monthly Access Finance Newsletter highlights: 'As measured in Q1 2010, the average total cost for South-to-South corridors is 12.30 percent when compared to the global average of 8.72 percent.'

The issue of high cost in many south-south corridors is largely an issue of the size and regularity of remittance flows and this can be seen in data that shows that countries with the largest remittance outflows, such as the UAE and USA, have relatively lower average remittance costs compared to countries with low remittance outflows like Australia, Brazil and Japan.  This volume-driven competitive efficiency trend will progress as more migrants move to these growing economies and look to send remittances.

 
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